Djokovic and Tsitsipas clash in the Paris Olympics quarterfinals. © Twitter (@VarskySports)
For the 14th time in their careers, Novak Djokovic and Stefanos Tsitsipas will face off in the Olympic quarterfinal. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on Court Philippe Chatrier. In this post, we analyze their head-to-head performance and prediction.
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic, who is expected to win in two sets. As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match. Novak Djokovic’s odds are 1.29, while Stefanos Tsitsipas’s odds are 3.74. Click here to view the most recent quotes and live streaming (available in a few countries; the USA is not included).
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This will be the 14th meeting between Novak Djokovic and Stefanos Tsitsipas. Djokovic currently leads their head-to-head record 11-2, with a dominant 5-0 on clay. The last time they faced each other was at the Australian Open final in 2023, where Djokovic emerged victorious with a scoreline of 6-3, 7-6(4), 7-6(5).
Novak Djokovic, ranked no. 2, reached the quarterfinal after defeating Matthew Ebden 6-0 6-1, Rafael Nadal 6-1 6-4, and Dominik Koepfer 7-5 6-3. In his match against Koepfer, Djokovic secured a straight-sets victory, scoring 66 points compared to Koepfer’s 49. Djokovic was aggressive, hitting 31 winners. He conceded a single service but still managed to win 86% of his first-serve points and 55% of his second-serve points. He served five aces. Djokovic broke Koepfer’s serve three times out of four breakpoint opportunities.
Djokovic has not lost a set in this tournament and has won 62% of the points he played. He boasts an impressive match record over the past decade, winning 86% of his matches (509-80). In 2024, he is 13-3 on clay. Regarding his performance on this surface in recent years, Djokovic has a 138-29 match record on clay. His best result of the current season was reaching the final at Wimbledon.
Stefanos Tsitsipas, ranked no. 11, reached the quarterfinal after defeating Zizou Bergs 7-6(6) 1-6 6-1, Daniel Evans 6-1 6-2, and Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-1. In his match against Baez, Tsitsipas won in straight sets, scoring 67 points compared to Baez’s 48. Tsitsipas hit 32 winners, served 5 aces, and committed 5 double faults. He lost his serve twice but saved three break points. Tsitsipas won 89% of his first serve points and 26% of his second serve points, breaking Baez’s serve five times out of seven opportunities.
Tsitsipas has lost only one set in the tournament, winning 55% of the points he played. His best result of the current year was winning the title in Monte Carlo, defeating Casper Ruud in the final 6-1 6-4. Tsitsipas has a composed 35-14 win-loss record in 2024, 22-6 on clay.
Given their head-to-head record and current form, Novak Djokovic is the favorite to win this match. His consistent performance on clay and dominant record against Tsitsipas, especially on this surface, make him the likely winner in this quarterfinal clash.
